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Mini Bus Factory – 1

Photos of the Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola, his Deputy Mrs Titi Loaye-Tomori  and others, during the Turning of Sod for Mini Bus factory Building at Free Trade Zone, Ede, State of Osun

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (3rd left); his Deputy, Mrs Titi Loaye-Tomori (2nd left); Timi of Ede, Oba Munirudeen Lawal (2nd right); Managing Director, Tilad Auto Nigeria Limited, Alhaji Tijani Oladosu (left); Commissioner for Commerce, Industry, Cooperatives and Empowerment, Mr Ismaila Alagbada (3rd right); Special Adviser to the Governor on Commerce, Industry, Cooperatives and Empowerment, Dr Olalekan Yinusa (right) and others, during the Turning of Sod for Mini Bus factory Building at Free Trade Zone, Ede, State of Osun

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (3rd left); his Deputy, Mrs
Titi Loaye-Tomori (2nd left); Timi of Ede, Oba Munirudeen Lawal (2nd
right); Managing Director, Tilad Auto Nigeria Limited, Alhaji Tijani
Oladosu (left); Commissioner for Commerce, Industry, Cooperatives and
Empowerment, Mr Ismaila Alagbada (3rd right); Special Adviser to the
Governor on Commerce, Industry, Cooperatives and Empowerment, Dr Olalekan
Yinusa (right) and others, during the Turning of Sod for Mini Bus factory
Building at Free Trade Zone, Ede, State of Osun

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (2nd right); his Deputy, Mrs Titi Loaye-Tomori (2nd left); Timi of Ede, Oba Munirudeen Lawal (left); Managing Director, Tilad Auto Nigeria Limited, Alhaji Tijani Oladosu (3rd right); Special Adviser to the Governor on Commerce, Industry, Cooperatives and Empowerment, Dr Olalekan Yinusa (right) and others, during the Turning of Sod for Mini Bus factory Building at Free Trade Zone, Ede, State of Osun

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (2nd right); his Deputy, Mrs
Titi Loaye-Tomori (2nd left); Timi of Ede, Oba Munirudeen Lawal (left);
Managing Director, Tilad Auto Nigeria Limited, Alhaji Tijani Oladosu (3rd
right); Special Adviser to the Governor on Commerce, Industry, Cooperatives
and Empowerment, Dr Olalekan Yinusa (right) and others, during the Turning
of Sod for Mini Bus factory Building at Free Trade Zone, Ede, State of Osun

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (3rd left); his Deputy, Mrs Titi Loaye-Tomori (2nd left); Timi of Ede, Oba Munirudeen Lawal (2nd right); Managing Director, Tilad Auto Nigeria Limited, Alhaji Tijani Oladosu (left); Special Adviser to the Governor on Commerce, Industry, Cooperatives and Empowerment, Dr Olalekan Yinusa (right) and others, during the Turning of Sod for Mini Bus factory Building at Free Trade Zone, Ede, State of Osun

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (3rd left); his Deputy, Mrs
Titi Loaye-Tomori (2nd left); Timi of Ede, Oba Munirudeen Lawal (2nd
right); Managing Director, Tilad Auto Nigeria Limited, Alhaji Tijani
Oladosu (left); Special Adviser to the Governor on Commerce, Industry,
Cooperatives and Empowerment, Dr Olalekan Yinusa (right) and others, during the Turning of Sod for Mini Bus factory Building at Free Trade Zone, Ede, State of Osun

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0101dele-momodu-backpagex.jpg-

0101dele-momodu-backpagex.jpg-Fellow Nigerians, what happened exactly one week ago in the State of Osun was not as simple as it looked. Lest we take some things for granted as we love to do in our country, kindly permit me to do an elaborate post-mortem of that much anticipated gubernatorial election. It is no longer news that the incumbent, Governor Rauf Aregbesola won. I never believed for any second that he was going to be defeated by his main challenger, Iyiola Omisore, for reasons I will explain shortly.

The battle for Osun was fought on different fronts and at different levels. There was the personal angle to the war. Who was Aregbesola and who was Omisore? That is usually the first layer of the struggle for supremacy. That aspect is always enhanced by media hype and propaganda. This was palpable in the war of modern day Ekiti-Parapo which was won by Ayo Fayose. Fayose had succeeded in projecting himself as being more popular, streetwise and down-to-earth than the current Governor, Kayode Fayemi. I had warned those who cared to listen to watch how the Governor had failed to challenge Fayose’s popularity contest. That, for me, was a fatal mistake. Human beings tend to follow what Francis Bacon called Idols of the Market Place.

The second mistake from Ekiti was simple and straight-forward. Theoretically, political parties would always attempt to rig elections in Nigeria because of the psychological fixation that the other party will rig. It then becomes the contest of the bigger-rigger. But a party can’t successfully rig where it is not overwhelmingly popular. This happened in 1983 when the NPN successfully took over power in Oyo State and sacked the supposedly popular government of the Cicero of Esa-Oke, Bola Ige, but could not get away with Akin Omoboriowo’s electoral victory over Adekunle Ajasin. This is an eloquent example of how elections are rigged and sustained through subtle connivance of unwary electorates. Omololu Olunloyo, an Ibadan man and Mathematical icon, had succeeded in projecting himself as matching Bola Ige intellect for intellect, popularity for popularity, thus erecting the optical illusion that Bola Ige was indeed defeatable.

But Omoboriowo did not invest in such monumental hypnotisation and mesmerisation of the people as a prelude towards preparing the people of Ondo State for the forceful takeover that the NPN had envisaged for most of the difficult and unfriendly states needed for the grandiloquent coronation and canonisation of President Shehu Shagari. Fayose had learnt this lesson in grandstanding and was able to reduce Fayemi into a pitiable pulp. Had Fayemi challenged Fayose’s farcical apotheosis, perhaps the results would have been different. But once the hunter transfigured into the hunted, it became obvious that Fayose was going to win fairly or crookedly because a fait accompli had been adequately prepared for the outcome of the election to be believable. If you doubt my theory, please, crosscheck the areas that returned incredible voter turnout and stupendous voting in the Osun election. They were mainly from Ife Local Governments. PDP would have loved to replicate and return such humongous votes all over the State but couldn’t because they had foolishly lost most of their warlords and protectors like Olagunsoye Oyinlola and Isiaka Adeleke. Fayemi did not have such formidable supporters in Ekiti.

This Ekiti scenario was cleverly avoided and nipped in the bud by Aregbesola’s strategists. They refused to be cowed or intimidated by the blistering PDP machinery and militarisation or, more appropriately, blitzkrieg. Those claiming that the unprecedented security presence in Osun was to make the election free and fair missed the point, or just chose to be clever by half. The whole idea was to establish a regime of scaremongering and if possible discourage many voters from even coming out to fulfil their civic responsibility. It is very easy for electoral manipulators to utilise the cards of disgruntled voters who refuse to vote to perpetrate their nefarious activities. This coupled with the fact that the bloated voter register is a mirage, in any event, makes rigging a delight for electoral cheats.  Anyone who watched the PDP Grand Rally in Osogbo and listened to the speeches of their leaders would have come to the same conclusion with me that they desperately wanted Osun in their kitty, not because they loved Omisore but for future purposes. PDP was merely laying the grass for the electoral Olympics which would be staged in 2015 and must be won by their team. There was no indication whatsoever that PDP was going to be benevolent towards APC. Let me expand this further and better.

The 2015 Presidential election promises to be a battle-royale. And the main stage for this rumble in the jungle is likely to be the South West region of Nigeria.  This makes it absolutely necessary for PDP to capture these States ahead and prepare the grounds for a major offensive. Their job would not be too difficult if they can secure Ondo, Ekiti, Osun, and others as at when due. Ondo and Ekiti have become friendly States and Osun would have made things even better by being the icing on the cake. PDP victory in Osun would have opened up APC for demystification and ostensibly subjected it to obvious ridicule. Had APC lost Osun, believe me, the game would have been over by now. The complete annihilation of Yorubaland would have been promptly achieved in one fell swoop. But God saved APC by the whiskers and gave them a second life.

The smartest thing APC did was to take on the PDP so fearlessly. They were able to reassure the people of Osun that they were ready to fight with everything if PDP ever attempted to rig them out and the people trusted them. If they had shown any sign of weakness and inner fears, PDP would have smashed them into smithereens and run away with cheap victory like they did in Ekiti where the stunned Governor who was hit by thunderbolt had to hurriedly concede defeat. The people of Osun went out boldly on Election Day to vote and seriously guard their mandate. They were not ready to tolerate any hanky-panky.  The message was very clear in the way they turned the election into a celebration of the achievements of their Governor. Social media played a key role as well. The people were able to establish contact with every part and monitor the peaceful way Osun people went about the business of the day. Even the security guys tacitly supported the people contrary to whatever they were brought in to achieve in the first instance.

It must be noted with every emphasis that Aregbesola’s candidacy was very formidable and not a fluke. One mistake that PDP continues to make is its preference for brawn over brains. But it must be reminded that no leader has ever succeeded in enslaving Nigerians and no one has been able to subdue the people of South West through the use of coercion. The people are too sophisticated to be dragged on a leash by any leader no matter how popular and wealthy. This is the reason their leadership changes constantly and rapidly because of their impatience with aspiring slave-drivers.

APC itself has so much to learn from Yoruba history. This victory is an indication that the party still has a fair chance of winning at the Federal level if they can resist the rascality being credited to some of their leaders. I doubt if anyone tells them the home truth about the reason many of their admirers are afraid to join the party. This must be reiterated at this stage if for nothing but for posterity. If APC fails it would be as a result of the vaunting ambitions of its own leaders who keep coming up with all manner of selfish permutations in order to gain the upper hand in the power equation. It is such a tragedy that so much time is being wasted in coming together to present a common front that can convincingly confront the candidacy of Goodluck Jonathan in the 2015 elections.

I will enumerate some of the major hurdles ahead of APC. The first is that many keen watchers of its affairs and conduct still see it as a private and family business of Bola Tinubu. There is no question that this man has been the biggest single investor in what has become APC today but he must be extremely careful not to waste the uncommon goodwill he has garnered as dividend for his gallant effort. How he tries to wash himself clean of allegations of handpicking candidates at local and national levels would help in shaping people’s impression, perception and decision about him and the party. This was part of what caused the misfortune of the party in Ondo and Ekiti. It takes a lot of sacrifice for a great man not to exhibit his prowess but it can only be counter-productive if care is not taken at the end of the day. It would be to his eternal credit if the party is allowed to grow into an octopus rather than a one-fingered party. The party should be worried about possible and sudden disintegration after all that has been done and achieved so far.

The second hurdle is how to contain the combustive ambition of some of its members. I believe, it needs to form a shadow kitchen cabinet of its key members urgently before most of them are poached away by PDP. The party has practically lost key allies in Borno, Edo, Ogun, Adamawa, Kano, Sokoto and other places. This emigration must be stopped before it turns into a mass exodus. It should never take 20 years to prepare for madness, a lot of time has been wasted already. For every day it dilly dallies, the PDP resurgence gets stronger.  The APC should look for the most credible Nigerians from all over the world and walks of life to bring together as a powerful team to strategise for the forthcoming elections and then form the cabinet after winning those elections.

The third is how to connect speedily to the largest army of angry youths in Africa who have lost all hope in their country. APC would gain so much if they can offer genuine optimism and rekindle the fire of patriotism in them. What I see at the moment is the over reliance on hard-core politicians who may not be able to match PDP in the game of numbers. There is no way APC would defeat PDP without galvanising the overwhelming support of non-traditional and first time voters.

The fourth and probably most vital is how to balance our ethnic colouration and volatile religious sensibilities. APC is going to have an uphill task picking the number one and number two candidates for the Presidential election. This needs not be so if the Party simply realises that what Nigerians want is that somebody for once puts merit into the forefront of the choice of leaders without sacrificing equity and justice.  Unfortunately, I’ve already uncovered so much confusion from them about who to pick, where to pick, the religion, the gender, and so on. If the truth must be told, only PDP can gain from this unnecessary commotion.

The more I listen to the argument of some of these APC members, the more I pray for these guys not to voluntarily throw their best chances into the Atlantic Ocean. What saddens me is that some of their permutations are based on selfish personal interests and do not take the larger interests of the Party or indeed Nigeria and Nigerians into consideration. Sometimes, I wonder if PDP has bewitched Nigerians and especially the opposition leaders. By now, there should be no argument whatsoever about sacking the party permanently for gross infractions and selecting the best candidates to achieve this objective.  The disorderliness and seeming lack of focus of the opposition may ultimately keep the PDP in power in a manner even more serious than we can ever contemplate.

It is a sad reality we must grudgingly accept when tomorrow comes.

THISDAY

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Certfcate of Return-2

Certfcate of Return-2

“My administration will carry through phenomenal reforms in the next four years. As a template of urban transformation across our cities and towns, Osogbo at the end of my tenure will look very much like Dubai”Rauf Aregbesola, August 12, 2014.

Last Sunday, the Chief Returning Officer for the Osun State governorship election and Vice Chancellor, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Prof. Bamitale Omole, announced to a crowd that had waited all night, that Mr. Rauf Aregbesola, incumbent governor of the state, had won the election by a comfortable margin. As a nation, elections, national or regional, test us to our very limits, and this recent one, by raising the spectre of electoral banditry, was certainly no exception. And, so, despite the scientific prediction by three independently conducted opinion polls that Aregbesola would beat his closest opponent, Iyiola Omisore, by an appreciable leeway, tension, apprehension and fears of last minute vote swapping or high-tech rigging pervaded the atmosphere. Indeed, The PUNCH columnist, Prof. Niyi Akinnaso, stated in his article entitled, “Why and how Aregbesola won the Osun election” (Tuesday, August 12, 2014) that “in a final bid to snatch victory, they attempted to disrupt the collation of results at the INEC office”.

How much a debt of gratitude the nation owes to INEC, and Omole for standing their grounds was brought home to this writer on Tuesday when as part of an ongoing research project, I had to be at Ile-Ife and Osogbo. For close to two hours, Osogbo came to a standstill as a massive, jubilant throng serenaded Aregbesola on his way to Freedom Square to address a huge audience. No hyperbole intended; the scene could have been swapped for one of Obafemi Awolowo’s campaign rallies. In those moments, it dawned on me, what an epic political storm could have overtaken the nation, had the overseers of the process succumbed to the temptation referred to by Akinnaso, to conjure up a fake result.

This is all the more so, when you consider the comprehensive militarisation of the state featuring by one account, close to 75,000 security operatives, some of them wearing masks. Let the point be made: There is a difference between the deployment of soldiers for elections which occur regularly in large democracies such as India and Indonesia, and an ostentatious display of armed might including the assassination attempts on political opponents. Those democracies employ the military to transport voting material to remote and inaccessible regions and to maintain order in volatile territories. What is decidedly contemptuous of the citizenry, however, is the scenario where some politicians, deliberately targeted, were forced into hibernation, and in some cases, disenfranchisement.

Power exercised irresponsibly or unjustly gives out the character or intentions of those exercising it. In this instance, several narratives point to an intention to scare the opposition, the All Progressives Congress out of its wits and to provide a soft landing for possible vote swindling. These are tragic omens in the light of the 2015, an election qualified by the factor that as some observers have remarked, large scale militarisation on the scale of Osun or Ekiti is logistically impossible across 36 states. If Nigeria were a decent country, the federal authorities would have apologised for the naked show of force in Osogbo especially for the arrest of the APC party officials for no apparently justifiable reason.

In contrast to the second term syndrome of Nigerian politics whereby high flyers slow down or simply wallow in their initial achievements, Aregbesola, quoted in the opening statement, promises greater governance impact. He set the bar high on Tuesday when he said that Osogbo and other cities/towns will be transformed on the world class level of Dubai. Cynics may dismiss the promise as post-election rhetoric rushing forth in the flush of victory. It is important however to note that an urban renewal plan authored in conjunction with the United Nations – Habitat currently exists in the state. For example, there are plans to build a cargo airport, increase the quality of mega schools and regenerate urban infrastructure to better connect Osogbo with other cities in the state and to Lagos. This is no doubt an ambitious project; it is even more so considering the financial strait jacket under which the state labours.

Aregbesola already has several exciting menu on his governance plate some of which have been well acclaimed. The challenge he faces therefore is that of sustaining such innovative programmes as a vast school feeding system imaginatively skewed to incorporate an employment generating scheme; while delivering on an impressive urban transformation agenda. Facing this challenge head-on will of course involve increasing the state Internally Generated Revenue which he lifted in the preceding three and half years from N300m to N1.6bn.

Even at that, several of his bold social programmes which earned him reelection are bound to run against the tight leash of dwindling and irregular federal allocation. Conceivably, if the Western Regional Integration could be fast-tracked in the face of political vicissitudes, economies of scale would permit the quicker transformation of the regional hub into an industrial and agricultural model that will challenge the rest of the federation. In the absence of such a lucky turn, Osun will have to apply all the tricks in the books of financial engineering to pull through laudable social policies.

Considering the brake on development which an incompetent centre constitutes, it is time for developmental states within the federation to explore innovative power generating options such as solar and wind power, light rail and the quickening of small scale manufacturing. Of course, life may be easier for Osun if the APC gains control of federal power in 2015. However, scenario building should take cognisance of best case and worst case scenarios. There is also the factor that electoral victory having been secured in part by elite transactions featuring the defections of notable figures from the Peoples Democratic Party, the party at the state level has become so inclusive and disparate that singing from the same hymn sheet ideologically becomes a challenge. Aregbesola’s political skills will be tested in the balancing acts he performs between fidelity to social programmes and the imperatives of power and spoils sharing.

Not everyone in his party will be interested in visionary programmes; more likely than not several will be angling for a piece of the action, hence the beckoning of statesmanship. In the same vein, acumen will be required in navigating the treacherous waters of religious polarity, an issue that nearly derailed some of his laudable programmes.

What is exciting about the prospects of Osun under Aregbesola is the framework gaining ground globally that innovative cities and sub regions may by transcending the constraints of weakly performing centres in fragile states to become growth poles and areas of fast paced development. By no means an easy task, it remains to be seen how far and to what extent the enunciated goals of a social reformer in political garb will be attained. He brings to his second term the popularity of a gladiator who has survived near martyrdom and enjoys the authority of a leader who ascended by surrendering himself to crucifixion.

He must now translate these assets into enduring achievement.

Punch

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Jubilation Pix on Gov-6

Jubilation Pix on Gov-6In most of the local government areas that Omisore won, the turnout of voters was severely low. Most of his supporters just refused to wake up on Election Day.

By now, you must be tired of reading all the spurious analysis about how Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola won last week’s Governorship election in Osun State.

The phrase ‘Stomach Infrastructure’ has been used, abused, reused and even misused.

All in an attempt to make readers feel like they are political gods, many analysts and exuberant social media commentators complicate the truth of how Aregbesola won.

There is also only one reason why these ‘wana-be political analysts’ get away with their garbage analysis; The Nigerian Constitution.  Oh yes, just take a look at section 39.

“…everyone is entitled to freedom of expression, including freedom to hold opinions and receive and impart ideas and information without interference.”

The problem is that the constitution is silent about what happens (punishment) if you impart ‘false ideas and information.’

Certainly, ‘freedom of information’ is important, but what is more important is ‘freedom of accurate information.’

We deserve nothing short of accurate information about how Rauf Aregbesola won.

We should not be swayed by the entire political name calling e.g. “Omisore, a Conman who converted to a CornMan”, or “Aregbesola, the Political Ebola of Osun State.”

Shouldn’t we be teaching the next generation of leaders about ‘How to learn from victory?’

What is more important ‘Why Aregbesola Won’? Or ‘How Aregbesola Won’?

Though both questions are relevant and similar, they are not equally as important.

The question about ‘Why Aregbesola Won’ turns on the debate microphone. Arguments are very personal and hard to prove. Often, you will hear such arguments in crowded beer parlours.

Everybody has an opinion about Why Aregbesola won, and of course, they are very passionate when it comes to defending these views.

The other question, ‘How Aregbesola Won’, is often based on facts and figures. It is verifiable and will be used by first in-class political analysts and advisers to develop election winning tactics and strategies for Osun 2018.

To answer this question requires more vigorous data analysis. To avoid doing such rigorous exercise, many public commentators focus on ‘the Why instead of the How.’

But the ‘How’ is what the next generation of leaders need. The ‘How’ is what we can really learn from. The ‘How’ is what reveals the truth that we desire. Focusing on the ‘How’ is the only way we can learn from failures and then make better plans for victory.

THE HIDDEN SECRETS OF HOW AREGBESOLA WON

  1. High Voter Concentration

10 out of the 30 local governments accounted for 51% of Rauf Aregbesola’s votes.

In simple terms, for every ten individuals that voted in these ten local government areas (Osogbo, Olorunda, Ilesha East, Ilesha West, Irewole, Irepodun, Iwo, Ejigbo,Ifelodun and Ede North), Senator Iyiola Omisore got only 3 votes.

The results of these 10 local governments gives exclusive insight about what went wrong for Senator Iyiola Omisore and the PDP team.

  1. Low Voter Turnout

In most of the local government areas that Omisore won, the turnout of voters was severely low. Most of his supporters just refused to wake up on Election Day.

Compare this with the turnout of voters for the APC / Rauf Aregbesola

  1. Poor Voter Education

Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola not only won with more votes, he also had lower invalid votes per local government area in which he won. (Only in 33% of the local government area where APC won did they record invalid votes in excess of 1,000 persons per local government.)

75% of the 8 local government areas that PDP won had invalid votes in excess of 1,000 persons per local government.

Within the next four years, there are too many uncertain events to predict that a demographic change in the voting pattern of Osun State is certain.

In the short to medium term, any party that wants to increase the possibility of victory in the coming elections in 2015 has to rethink its winning tactics and strategies.

YNAIJA

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timthumb (15)

timthumb (15)It has been revealed that Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola became victorious in the August 9 election because he came to the state with an open mind to develop the state and move it forward.

The Commissioner for Information and Strategy, Hon. Sunday Akere stated this yesterday in Osogbo during a programme organised to appreciate God and celebrate the victory of Ogbeni Aregbesola in the last gubernatorial elections.

The Commissioner also stated that the administration will not unjustly treat anybody for any reason at all while also hinging the victory in the polls to the grace of God.

While appreciating the people of the state for their support, Hon. Akere called on the people of the state to immediately get down to work to develop the state as the state belongs to everybody.

He appreciated the members of staff of the ministry for believing in the Ogbeni Aregbesola administration and for supporting the re-election of the Governor for a second term

The Commissioner who charged the ministry staff to show more commitment to their duties stressed that Ogbeni Aregbesola is planning to use the second term to build on the good foundation which has been laid for development in the first term.

Also speaking at the event were the Special Advisers to the Governor on Youths Sports and Special Needs, Com. Biyi Odunlade, Special Adviser on Lands, Physical Planning and Urban Development, Dr Ayodele Owoade and the Senior Special Assistant to the Governor on Electronics, Engr. Remi Omowaye who all reiterated the commitment of the Governor to continue to develop the state.

They all thanked the people of the state and civil servants for making Aregbesola successful, stressing that the Governor is experiencing success as a result of the support of civil servants.

In a welcome remark, the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Information and Strategy, Eng. Segun Aduroja appealed for more cooperation from information managers while charging them not relent in their efforts.

Also present at the event were the Senior Special Assistant to the Governor on Media Monitoring, Mr Lani Baderinwa, Director General of Osun State Broadcasting Corporation, Dr Olusoji Fadehan, women leaders as well as all the Directors in the Ministry.

BIOREPORTS

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bola-ige-50-greatest-nigerians-naijasmostincredible.com_

bola-ige-50-greatest-nigerians-naijasmostincredible.com_I have always had an ambivalent attitude towards the politics of Osun State since the death of Chief Bola Ige in December 2001. It is routine for him to spend his Christmas break at his home town, Esa-Oke, and usually arrived there on the 23rd December. In the year of his death, he told me he would arrive a day earlier than this routine schedule and so in anticipation of the variation, I went to his country home on the evening of 22nd December to visit him. Esa-Oke and my town Okemesi are neighbours separated only by a 10-minute drive and our families are some sort of ancestral cousins.
It was habitual for his young friends and admirers to spend time with him, especially those of us who are also close friends of his children, Funsho and Muyiwa. I got there around 7pm and was told he had not arrived. And then the news broke in the early hours of the following morning that he had been assassinated. It turned out that as I was knocking on his doors at Esa-Oke, death was paying him an unwanted visit in Ibadan.
I first met Senator Iyiola Omisore in the company of the late Ige at Ado-Ekiti in 1998. The background to their political companionship was the pragmatic response to the pressure imposed by the brevity of the transition programme of Gen. Abdusalami Abubakar following the death of Gen. Sani Abacha. After many years of internal political exile (occasioned by the 1993 presidential election annulment crisis) Ige and the traditional Afenifere political leadership were confronted with the immediate challenge of responding effectively to the chosen option of participation in the 199899 political transition programme.
In their absence, Yoruba politicians of different political persuasion who chose to participate in the Abacha transition programme had filled the vacuum they left behind. It was practically impossible for them, within the short span of the transition programme, to re-establish fighting-fit structures of electoral mobilisation from the ward level upwards to the national level. In the circumstance they found themselves somewhat compelled them to seek recourse in the realistic strategy of co-opting the extant political structures on ground, which were largely controlled by politicians who had participated in the political programme of Abacha.
In Osun State, Omisore was the leading governorship aspirant and had built a formidable political war machine towards the realisation of this purpose. In a calculated marriage of convenience, Ige simply co-opted and matched Omisore as the running mate to Chief Bisi Akande, his protégé and follower on the Afenifere hierarchy. The general idea was that Afenifere would provide the credible political leadership to which the penitent Abacha politicians were expected to deify and defer. And for the most part, the arrangement worked as designed.
In putting this formula to practice, Ige had embarked on the herculean task of selling Omisore to the Afenifere establishment and it was in this capacity that both of them attended the Afenifere town meeting called at Ado Ekiti. The group’s leader in Ekiti State, Dr. Nathaniel Aina, openly expressed his dissatisfaction with Omisore’s presence and remarked he only tolerated him in deference to the authority figure of the deputy leader of Afenifere.
In the ensuing general election, Ige got the duo of Akande and Omisore elected as governor and deputy governor. To the extent of the potential for conflict implied in this complicated background, the crisis that pitted the two against each another was inevitable. Both of them are assertive and turbulent personalities and their disruptive incompatibility presaged the do-or-die antagonism that came to characterise the relationship between governors and their deputies.
The constitution is partly to blame by suggesting that the downfall of the governor equals the good fortune of the deputy. And so right from the onset of their tenure, there is the subconscious anticipation (by the deputy governor) of the only clear role assigned to that office by the constitution — to fill in the vacuum that may be created by the exit of his principal. All pretensions to the contrary, which politician would not secretly crave this mouth-watering opportunity?
In fretful awareness of this doomsday scenario, the governor invariably becomes susceptible to paranoia and begins to see the ghost of his deputy first thing in the morning and the last encounter at night. Remember the fierce resistance of the late President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua’s inner circle to the idea of acting President Goodluck Jonathan setting his eyes on a supposedly recuperating principal? The ancient Oyo Empire had a simple panacea to such succession psychosis. The crown prince was made to have a vested interest in the longevity of the reign of the king through the constitutional contrivance specifying that they die together. The death of the king is a compulsory invitation to the prince to equally take his earthly exit.
Prior to the change of Nigeria’s political leadership in 1998, Omisore had his sights firmly set on the governorship seat, not that of deputy governor; and from his first day in office in May 1999, the indications were that he regarded himself as governor-in-waiting (and would tell you that was the deal he had with Ige) rather than the appendage designation of deputy governor. He took the position that he occupied the office of the deputy governor as of right not a privilege and did not accommodate himself to the suppliant mentality that would make his principal comfortable.
On account of his political pedigree and rather confrontational temperament, Omisore did not fit into the tradition-bound hierarchical order of Afenifere. The simmering feud soon blew out into the open and Omisore found himself confronted less with Akande and more with the mentor and godfather.
The crisis escalated with the impeachment of Omisore and the battle line became boldly encrypted in the swampy soil of Osun State. The sacred palace of the Ooni at Ile-Ife played host to the deux-ex-machina (the catalyst) to the climax of the tragic drama. It was the arena of Ige’s last public appearance and where his unprecedented physical molestation signposted the grim fate that awaited him.
The inability of the Nigerian state to unravel the mystery of the late attorney-general’s sudden death has not helped Omisore’s case and persistently prompts the quip if not him then who? If he is innocent of this accusation, as his sympathisers had repeatedly argued, then he would be the victim of the gravest injustice.
Sincere friends and associates of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) governorship candidate often marvel at his penchant for overstating his importance — arrogating to himself godfather influence over issues he has little or no leverage and knew little about. He has persistently got himself into trouble on account of this illusion of grandeur complex. At the Ife encounter, he was reported as directing some roughnecks to manhandle Ige and “get his cap for me”. Against this incriminating background, the preponderance of opinion was that the state should look no further than him in the search for Bola Ige’s killers.
Incidentally the last discussion I had with anyone on the murder case was with a former governor of the state, who categorically dismissed any attribution of the murder to Omisore as false and unfounded. He believed that the incident was the case of an armed robbery gone horribly wrong. In an ironical twist, the same personality wove a narrative of the murder in a most devastating propaganda attack on Omisore at Governor Rauf Aregbesola’s mega rally a few days before the August 9th governorship election.
He recalled that all the key PDP-related political appointments from Osun State including the Minister of Police Affairs, the national secretary of the PDP, the state chairman of PDP, and an anointed senatorial aspirant in the state, were co-detainees with Omisore as suspects in the murder of Ige. It was a propaganda coup — a rousing reminder and incitement to the troubled conscience of the Osun electorate to default on the side of the American legal cannon, which stipulates that an accused has to prove his innocence rather than being deemed innocent until proven guilty by the law as in the tradition of British jurisprudence.
At the nomination of Jelili Adesiyan as ministerial candidate from Osun State, I had argued that it was a strategic political blunder on the part of Omisore. Anybody running for the governorship of the state, who is remotely implicated in the controversy over the Ige murder case, can do without the liability of reopening this deep-seated political wound by refraining from any action with a potential to reawaken public consciousness all over again on such a heart-wrenching tragedy. Typically the PDP governorship flag bearer could not just resist the opportunity to flaunt the range and depth of his powerful connections and so he went ahead to nominate an individual whose sponsorship no one could be in any doubt.
To make a bad case worse, Omisore’s propaganda, publicity and goodwill outreach was practically non-existent. He had no promotional message on either AIT or Channels all through his campaigns. The double jeopardy here is that his opponents in the election are past masters in the science and art of propaganda in Nigeria.
In the present political configuration of this country, I’m a committed member and partisan of the PDP. Does this commitment stop short of regretting Omisore’s defeat? Since I’m in no position to categorically rule him in or out of culpability in the death of Ige, the answer has to be yes. And in specific terms of the politics of the South-west, I’m concerned more with the regional preference in the forthcoming presidential election than the outcome of state governorship elections.
THIS DAY

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Ifedayo – 2

Ifedayo - 2The Osun State governorship election has come and gone successfully. That the conduct of the election is reported to be free, fair and devoid of rancor is a victory for democracy and the rule of law. We commend the Osun electorate for carrying out their civic responsibility despite the over-militarization of the electioneering process by the Federal Government.

But there are some serious issues arising from the conduct of the election that can not be glossed over.  First is the allegation by Marilyn Ogah, Deputy Director of the Department of State Security (DSS) in charge of publicity, that a politician in one of the political parties offered operatives of the department N14 million to compromise security during the election. Added to that is her revelation that the hooded security operatives were of the DSS.

This Newspaper, in as much as it commends the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and the relevant security agencies for a job well done, would want to know if the DSS has made any arrest in respect of the bribe offer. If not, is it then a mere case of crying wolf where none exists, just to justify the inexcusable presence of frightening hooded operatives of the department? That allegation is certainly too grave not to warrant an arrest. Nigerians deserve to know. Besides, there is also the need to ponder the continued militarization of the electioneering process. More so, because there was no air of freedom in Osun State while the election lasted. Will it continue to be a factor in our polity, even in the forth-coming general elections?

Indeed, it needs to be stated that Nigerians are fast growing a culture of an enlightened polity; where the citizenry will not be intimidated by any brute force, and the people demand that their votes must count. That exactly was the lesson from Osun State. Furthermore, we believe that electioneering is a process. Therefore, the idea of arresting and or restricting the movement of political leaders before and during election can only be seen as an attempt at intimidating the opposition party. There should be an end to that, forthwith; as it does not augur well for a vibrant democracy.

We also urge INEC to hold onto the Revised Option A4 – the on-the-spot counting and announcement of result at the pulling booths – which was used in Osun State. Obviously, it brings a lot of credibility to the election process. At least, no one has faulted the process or the result. We therefore need to improve on it and make it a standard for all future elections.

DAILY INDEPENDENT

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osun2

It is no longer news that the people of Osun State last Saturday went to the poll to elect who will be their governor for the next four years. And with a determination to put their fate in their own hands, they exhibited strong sense of patriotism as they trooped out in large numbers to exercise their civic responsibility.

Besides, the Osun governorship election would go down in history as the most eagerly awaited election in the annals of the history of the state. Men, women; young and old, waited patiently on the queue, defying the drizzling rain with various colours of umbrellas to ensure that they make the necessary change with the only power in their possession, their votes.

Events leading to the Osun State governorship election presented an ominous sign of palpable danger. This perhaps explains the deployment of massive security personnel, including men of the Nigerian Army, the Department of State Services, DSS, the Nigerian Security Civil Defence Corps, NSCDC, for election duty to forestall breakdown of law and order.

Curfew was declared in Osun from 6pm of Friday to 6pm of Election Day and this created huge problem, for travellers traversing Osun State on their way to their destinations.

For those coming from Lagos and/or Ibadan, they were stopped from proceeding on their journey at Ikire, the border town between Osun and Oyo states, forcing many of them to return to Ibadan for succour, while many were stranded at the border town till after 6pm on Election Day before they could continue their journey.

Those coming from Ondo State end had their journey terminated at Owena, another border town between Ondo and Osun states and a huge number of them spent the 24 hours that the curfew lasted in the border town.

Travellers from Ekiti also had their journey terminated at Ilesa, where many vehicles converged till after the curfew was lifted at 6pm on poll day. A woman and her two grown daughters also were stranded at Ile-Ife junction by the Ibadan-Ilesa expressway.

Suffice to say that all the stranded travellers were forced to observe a full day fast, as there was no food vendors to cater for their culinary needs. On election eve, a man was arrested with huge amount of money running to millions of naira, efforts by national mirror to find out who he was and how much was found on him were rebuffed by the soldiers who ‘arrested’ him.

The people of the ancient city of Osogbo woke up to a cloudy atmosphere on Saturday August 9, the day set aside for the state governorship election in the state.

The cloudy atmosphere gave way to early shower and despite this weather condition, the people were determined to carry out their civic of picking who is to govern them for the next four years.

The major candidates whose bill boards dominated Osogobo, the state capital were the incumbent governor, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola, who was also the All Progressive Congress, APC candidate, the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP candidate, Senator Iyiola Omisore and the candidate of the Labour Party, LP, Alhaji Fatai Akinbade.

Massive voters’ turn-out

By 7.00 am on the Election Day, people have already trooped out to the various polling booths waiting for INEC officials. In some of the polling booths visited in Oja-Oba, Alekuwodo, Owode, Igbona, Oke Fia, among others , the electorates gathered under canopies because of the early morning shower.

Chairs were arranged under the canopies and we gathered that those chairs and canopies were provided by the community leaders for the elderly who may not be able to withstand the rigour of staying for long. It was also seen that many aged people were guided to the voting centres.

The young men were also there to provide assistance for the aged and they were encouraged to carry out their civic duty. The Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC officials arrived promptly in various polling booths with the election materials and accreditation started on schedule in most polling booths visited.

The officials because of large turn-out in the city knew that they were going to be overstretched. One of the Youth Corps member who served as official at the Testing Ground area said they were prepared for the task. Policemen and men of the NSCDC were stationed at each polling booth to provide security, though they carried no arms. There were also patrol of major streets by the mobile policemen and men of the NSCDC. They moved round to forestall any breakdown of law and order. There was also aerial surveillance by the police through helicopters.

Soldiers also mounted road blocks at the major entrance to the city. Rather than being intimidated by the high presence of security personnel, the residents of Osogbo were more determined to carry out their civic duty as some of them who spoke to National Mirror, declared that presence of security operatives would not hinder them from performing their right of electing their leaders.

All the security agencies also behaved well and were civil, even in the face of provocation by the youths who believed that they (the security agents) were sent by the Federal Government to prevent them from voting. Vehicles were not allowed to move except those that have the tag of INEC and were accredited for performing one role or the other and even then such persons and vehicles were subjected to thorough search by the security personnel. By 12.00 noon, accreditation ended and the voting started.

The voting dragged into late in the evening in most areas such as Testing Ground, Olaiya, Oke-Fia, Akindeko, Ogo Oluwa, Ring Road, Kola Balogun because of heavy turn- out of voters. By around 6.00pm counting of the votes had ended and APC supporters trooped out to celebrate, brandishing their brooms, the symbol of their party.

Till late in the night it was jubilation galore. But there was no violence in the ancient city of Osogbo rather it was celebration in a carnival –like mood throughout the night. Parties were also held in different section of the town till the morning of Sunday as television were placed outside to monitor the declaration of election results local government by local government by the INEC.

In Osogbo, one young man, after voting, jumped up and shouted: “Mo gba owo won, mo gba iresi won, mo gba kerosene won, mi o dibo fun won o,” meaning “I collected their money, rice and kerosene, but I didn’t vote for them.”

Returning home to vote

Some voters who registered at a far distance from their homes left as early as 6am and trekked to the polling units for accreditation. At some polling units in ward 4, Ogo- Oluwa Area of Osogbo local government, voters were already on the queue to be accredited by INEC officials who were on the ground as early as eight O’clock.

In Ile Ife, the hometown of the candidate of the PDP, Senator Omisore, and the senator representing Osun East Senatorial District, Senator Babajide Omoworare, the atmosphere was calm while voters in their numbers turned up early in their various polling booths to vote.

At Maku unit 13, Iremo 3, Maku compound in Ife Central Local Government, Senator Omoworare and several of his supporters in the area voted. Also, despite having polling booth few metres to his country home, the PDP candidate, Senator Iyiola Omisore, had to return to the nearest booth to his compound at Saint Gabriel More, to cast his vote. Similarly, the state governor, Mr. Aregbesola, who left Osogbo, the state capital, on Friday for Ilesa, his home town to exercise his civic duty, voted at Unit 1, Ward 8, Ifofin, Ilesa, the nearest polling booth to Ogbon Arogbo, his ancestral home.

At Loogan Agbaakin, in Ede, the former Speaker of Osun state House of Assembly and running mate to the PDP governorship candidate, Chief Adejare Bello, voted and nearly all the political bigwigs, who might not have been seen near their home towns, let alone compounds returned home to exercise their civic duty. This development constituted major talking point during and after the election. Several commentators on this gave diverse opinions about the significance of the return of the men to their ancestral homes for the poll.

A 60-year old man at Maku Compound, Pa Joseph Falola, just after completing his accreditation said, though Senator Omoworare, usually visit the compound, he added that the period of the poll, provided people of the area with opportunity to spend more time with him. He said the senator spent the whole week of the poll in the compound.

Movements across the wards

Across the state, there were movements by agents of political parties, moving from one ward to another to ensure things went the way they planned. Items and monies were moved by parties in a desperate bid to “buy” voters and this nearly caused fracas in some polling units, where sharing of money was resisted by people.

At a polling unit near Enuwa Square in Ife, a middle age lady, who dressed like a lunatic, but was secretly convincing elderly voters on the queue to vote for a particular political party was arrested. Her arrest was effected when a 70-year old woman alerted security operatives, who immediately arrested her and wisked her away.

In Osogbo, especially in the interior part of the town, sharing of materials for votes were also witnessed, while the situation was not same at the new settlements in the state capital. In Ede and Ikire towns, the situation was the same.

Clash between the multi agencies election security monitors

The clash between policemen and soldiers in Ogbaagbaa, the hometown of LP candidate, Alhaji Akinbade, raised the issue of dangers the usage of several security agencies for election duties would engender. When the issue of likelihood of clash among the security agencies was raised with the Commissioner of Police for Osun governorship poll, Austin Ebakavbokun, he assured that each agency knew its brief and would stick to it.

However, at the entrance of Ogbaagba, a town in Olaoluwa Local Government area of Osun state, a bloody clash was only narrowly averted, when some soldiers that mounted road block, stopped a patrol van conveying about six policemen and demanded that the men should surrender themselves for search.

At the peak of the altercations between the two groups, several gunshots were fired into the air, causing pandemonium in the neighbourhood not far away from a polling booth. The incidents led to the disruption of voting in the polling booth, as many of the voters abandoned the queue and fled the area, until normalcy returned. Concerns over border towns

There were also concerns while the voting was on about the border towns in the state, that there may be trans-border crime by hoodlums, who may use routes that were not known to the soldiers manning border towns across the state. In Ikire, Ifetedo, Ora, Ila-Odo among others and all border towns in the state, heavy security presence were seen. The fear according to a top security source, was consequent upon intelligence that voting may be disrupted by trans-state hoodlums in border towns.

Rumours and conflicting election results

As early as 3pm on the day of the poll, social media platforms were awashed with different results coming from the 332 wards in the state, thus putting many newsmen covering the exercise under serious pressure to file results of the poll as quickly as possible. From indications, nearly all political parties that participated in the poll had made provisions for those that would post results of polls as soon as they were announced onto the social media platforms.

Though, this to a certain extent, assisted stakeholders to follow the trend the election was taking, but in many instances, wrong results were deliberately posted to cause confusion. In many units where important dignitaries voted and were focal points, several incorrect election results were circulated on social media platforms, leading to confusion.

Making ‘brisk business’ on Election Day at Ile Ife

It was however not only the electorate that had their hands full on the election day, given the hype that the election had generated, security personnel that include soldiers, men of the State Security Service, SSS, Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps, NSCDC and police were also not exempted as they were all over the state to prevent break down of law and order.

With restriction of movement and closure of business till 6.00 pm on the day, getting things, including food to buy turned out to be a herculean task. But trust Nigerians, whether in uniform or not, they will always find a way out. This was the case with some soldiers deployed to Mayfair area of Ile Ife, as they decided to help themselves in getting food to eat when the voting exercise was on.

Taking full charge of the junction that led to the ancient city, the soldiers numbering about five with their gun hanging on their shoulder mounted a the road block, stopping those passing with courtesy.

Directly in front of their road block was a young lady, who simply gave her name as Bola, selling fried eggs, bread, indomie and tea. Bola, for close to 25 minutes that this reporter was in the area was on her feet attending to customers with the soldiers directly providing security. While two of the soldiers were attending to motorists on election duty at the road block, the others were filling their stomach with the delicious food provided by the lady. One by one the soldiers queue before the lady and she in turn made food available to them.

From nowhere also was a team of observers who came to join the soldiers and took turn to have their fill of the food courtesy of the lady who certainly will smile to the bank after the election.

With this act by the lady even though not for free, it would not be an understatement that it helped the soldiers in “rightly” performing their duty during the election exercise. And for the lady, she could not but wish that elections should continue to hold, because it not only provided her the opportunity to have security for free while on “duty” but also big business with lots of cash, at the expense of her rivals in the business.

NATIONAL MIRROR

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Obas – 1

Photos of the Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola  during a Congratulatory Visit by Osun Divisional Conference

of Obas in Osun Central Senatorial District to Aregbesola, in Osogbo on Thursday 14-08-2014

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (centre); Akirun of Ikirun, Oba Rauf Adedeji (3rd left); Olokuku of Okuku, Oba Samuel Oluronke (3rd right); Aragbiji of Iragbiji, Oba Rasheed Olabomi (left); Owa of Otan Ayegbaju, Oba Lukman Fadipe (2nd right); Olobu of Ilobu, Oba Ashiru Olaniyan (2nd left) and Elerin of Erin-Osun, Oba Yusuf Oyagbodun (right), during a Congratulatory Visit by Osun Divisional Conference of Obas in Osun Central Senatorial District to Aregbesola, in Osogbo on Thursday 14-08-2014

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (centre); Akirun of
Ikirun, Oba Rauf Adedeji (3rd left); Olokuku of Okuku, Oba Samuel Oluronke (3rd
right); Aragbiji of Iragbiji, Oba Rasheed Olabomi (left); Owa of Otan
Ayegbaju, Oba Lukman Fadipe (2nd right); Olobu of Ilobu, Oba Ashiru
Olaniyan (2nd left) and Elerin of Erin-Osun, Oba Yusuf Oyagbodun
(right), during a Congratulatory Visit by Osun Divisional Conference
of Obas in Osun Central Senatorial District to Aregbesola, in Osogbo
on Thursday 14-08-2014

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (6th left); Akirun of Ikirun, Oba Rauf Adedeji (5th left); Olokuku of Okuku, Oba Samuel Oluronke (6th right); Aragbiji of Iragbiji, Oba Rasheed Olabomi (3rd left); Owa of Otan Ayegbaju, Oba Lukman Fadipe (5th right); Olobu of Ilobu, Oba Ashiru Olaniyan (4th left); Elerin of Erin-Osun, Oba Yusuf Oyagbodun (4thright) and others, during a Congratulatory Visit by Osun Divisional Conference of Obas in Osun Central Senatorial District to Aregbesola, in Osogbo on Thursday 14-08-2014

Governor State of Osun, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola (6th left); Akirun of
Ikirun, Oba Rauf Adedeji (5th left); Olokuku of Okuku, Oba Samuel
Oluronke
(6th right); Aragbiji of Iragbiji, Oba Rasheed Olabomi (3rd left); Owa
of Otan Ayegbaju, Oba Lukman Fadipe (5th right); Olobu of Ilobu, Oba
Ashiru Olaniyan (4th left); Elerin of Erin-Osun, Oba Yusuf Oyagbodun
(4thright) and others, during a Congratulatory Visit by Osun Divisional Conference of Obas in Osun Central Senatorial District to
Aregbesola, in Osogbo on Thursday 14-08-2014

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oaulogo

oaulogoThe authorities of the Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, have congratulated Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola on his re-election as the Executive Governor of Osun State for the next four years.

A release by the Public Relations Officer , Mr. Abiodun Olarewaju, stated that the University eulogised the sterling qualities of Ogbeni Aregbesola and urged him to continue to give more dividends of democracy to the entire people of Osun State.

According to the University’s spokesman, a congratulatory letter written by the the Registrar, Mr. Dotun Awoyemi, on behalf of the Council, Vice- Chancellor, Professor Bamitale Omole, Senate, Staff and Students of the University, attributed the victory of the Governor to the acceptability of the humane policies of his administration which have positively impacted on the entire citizenry of Osun State.

He called on Ogbeni Aregbesola to see his re-election as a national call to duty, using his God-given talents to further elevate people’s standard of living and serve humanity in general. He added that Obafemi Awolowo University is pleased to be associated with the Governor and is proud of the successes his administration has recorded since his assumption of office.

The Registrar, then, enjoined Governor Aregbesola to sustain, on a greater scale, the long history of collaboration between his administration and Obafemi Awolowo University. He, therefore, pray that the Almighty God will continue to endow the Governor with more wisdom and sound health to enable him to be relevant to Osun State , Nigeria, Africa and the world at large.

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